According to Johns Hopkins University statistics, as of 13 pm local time on the 21st, the United States has more than 20,000 confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia, 278 deaths. Within three days, the number of confirmed cases in the United States had risen from 10,000 to 20,000. More research and analysis suggests that the peak of the U.S. outbreak may not come until May at the earliest.
The number of confirmed cases in the United States has broken 20,000.
Doubles in confirmed data within 48 hours
22043 confirmed, 278 deaths, this is the latest u.S. outbreak data updated by Johns Hopkins University as of March 21, 1300 BST.
Judging from the development of data in the last week, the outbreak has undoubtedly spread in the United States.
On March 13, 52 days after the first case of new coronary pneumonia was confirmed in the United States, Mr. Trump declared a “state of emergency.” This is seen as the beginning of the United States to face the epidemic at the national level and strengthen prevention and control.
On that day, the cumulative number of confirmed cases in the United States was 1701. Five days later, on the 18th, that number was approaching 10,000.
At 22:00 local time on the 18th, the number of confirmed cases in the United States reached 9077. By 18:30 on the 20th, the number of confirmed cases in the United States had exceeded 18,000. In less than 48 hours, the number of confirmed cases doubled.
Behind the surge in numbers, the rapid spread of the U.S. epidemic is even more worrying.
Researchers at Columbia University have used mathematical models to predict the development of the U.S. outbreak, the New York Times reported Tuesday. Research shows that the current outbreak in the United States is only in its infancy, and that the peak will not arrive until May at the earliest.
The study said that if “completely out of control”, the peak day of new cases can reach 500,000, if some control measures are taken, the peak day will increase close to 300,000, if the most stringent control measures, can effectively smooth the growth curve of infections, but these measures must be implemented immediately nationwide.
Ready, or caught off guard?
“Passive escalation” of U.S. defense measures
“The new corona virus will miraculously disappear” “The new corona virus is the New Democratic Party’s new scam” “No matter what happens, we are ready” …
In late February, in a public speech, Mr. Trump judged the U.S. outbreak. However, it turned out that Mr. Trump was clearly over-optimistic at the time, and that the United States, under which he was leading the United States, did not seem ready to respond to the outbreak.
Since March, the panic in American society has grown, whether it has allowed Mr Buffett to “live” to see the continuing turmoil in financial markets, or the rush to buy out toilet paper in supermarkets.
Epidemic spread, people panic, the government’s epidemic prevention and control measures are also in the passive increasing.
From the introduction of the “15-day anti-epidemic guidelines” recommending avoiding gatherings of more than 10 people, to the declaration of “home orders” in multiple states, from the suspension of travel to and from europe to the suspension of all routine visa services worldwide, “suspension” has gradually become the key word in U.S. executive orders.
The latest move is on March 21st, when the United States officially closed its north-south border, restricting the movement of people along its border with Canada and Mexico, in addition to trade.
More than half of u.S. states are now under a state of emergency, and more than a fifth of Americans are being quarantined at home because of “home control orders.” But public opinion believes that from top to bottom, U.S. defense measures could have been earlier and faster.
The Washington Post recently published an article entitled “Mr. President, please lock us up” to express its dissatisfaction with the U.S. government’s weak control.
The article points out that during the outbreak, state governments actively adopted “self-help” measures to strictly control public gatherings such as schools and public transportation;
On the 20th, Mr. Trump also said he did not see the need for a nationwide “home order” because the outbreak in some areas was not severe.
“The epicenter” of New York is in a hurry.
Governors and mayors turn for help
Prevention and control were caught off guard, most notably in the world’s most developed United States, where supplies are in a hurry.
The worst-hit state is New York State. New York state accounts for more than 40 percent of the current u.S.-confirmed cases. 20, Trump declared a “major disaster” in New York State and ordered the federal government to support the state in its fight against the new coronary pneumonia outbreak. U.S. media said it was the first time the U.S. president had declared a major disaster area because of a public health security incident.
How urgent is the situation in New York State? Governor Cuomo on the 20th directly to the outside world announced that any commercial companies have the conditions to produce masks, gloves and other related medical protective supplies, the state government will pay a high price to buy.
New York Mayor Bill DeVos not only calls new city the “epicenter” of the U.S. outbreak, but also lists a long list of urgently needed supplies: By early April, the city will need 3 million N95 masks, 50 million surgical masks, 15,000 respirators, and 25 million surgical suits, work clothes, gloves and masks.
Not only in New York, but in the face of the outbreak, there is a huge gap in medical supplies across the United States.
The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services said in early March that the U.S. national emergency stockpile of medicines and medical supplies had only about 12 million N95 masks and 30 million surgical masks, accounting for only 1.2 percent of the number of masks needed in a pandemic.
In response to the disaster, Mr. Trump, a self-described “war-time president,” said on March 18th that he would immediately activate the “Defense Production Act.”
Detection becomes the “bull’s-eye” of public opinion
How many people are still in infected?
The greater danger to the spread of the epidemic is due to a serious imbalance in detection than supplies.
In recent days, some u.S. political celebrities and social celebrities priority testing, even no disease, no symptoms also do testing phenomenon by public opinion. Because of the lack of resources to detect, this “rich man first” has caused so much controversy in American society that Mr. Trump responded to a media-induced challenge: “Maybe this is life.” “
In fact, from the beginning of the outbreak to date, the United States backward detection capacity, stringent testing standards, has been public opinion as a major cause of the spread of the epidemic.
By January and mid-February, almost all of the center’s laboratories were qualified for testing, with an average of no more than 100 test samples per day, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
After a lengthy and time-consuming review process, the Food and Drug Administration finally approved testing at agencies and laboratories outside the CDC on February 29.
After the start of the mass testing, the u.S. epidemic curve has skyrocketed.
In New York State, for example, the reason for the surge in confirmed numbers is related to increased testing capabilities, in addition to the high turnover. Governor Cuomo said Tuesday that New York State has significantly strengthened its new coronavirus detection capabilities in the past two weeks. On the 19th day alone, New York State completed 10,000 tests.
Researchers at Columbia University believe that because there are many asymptomatic or mild carriers of the virus, the number of undetected cases in the United States may be 11 times the current number of confirmed cases, which also reflects the current U.S. testing capacity is still lagging behind.
“It would have been easier to control the outbreak if extensive testing had been carried out at the beginning of the outbreak. The New York Times previously commented that “missed a series of opportunities that left officials across the United States with only black jobs and exponential growth in cases.”