Researchers are trying to determine the true death rate of COVID-19 as the number of new cases of pneumonia in the United States and other countries increases,media BGR reported. Using available data from a variety of studies that attempt to provide accurate estimates, one study said the true mortality rate could average 0.68 percent, or 6.8 deaths per 1,000 infected people. The actual mortality rate takes into account cases of COVID-19 that have not been diagnosed through PCR testing, which is lower than the mortality rate calculated according to the number of confirmed tests.
In the early days of the outbreak, the new coronavirus was thought to be a possible variant of the flu. As the spread of the virus and the more people know about pathogens, the more obvious the difference between COVID-19 and influenza. Not only does it spread easier and faster, but it also causes serious complications that do not occur in influenza cases. The number of deaths from the new coronavirus is also much higher than that of the common flu, although some politicians claim that the death rates of the two infectious diseases are similar.
Seven months later, the number of new crowns confirmed worldwide has exceeded 14.89 million, with more than 615,000 deaths. According to the Coronavirus App website, which tracks COVID-19 months, the mortality rate was 4.13 percent. However, this figure does not tell the whole story. It is not possible that every COVID-19 death is reported in this way, so the true death toll may be higher. What’s more, the total number of new crown diagnoses registered globally is not the real total. Although there are currently about 15 million confirmed infections, as many as 10 times as many as 10 times the number of people are infected. This includes asymptomatics and those who have never been tested for COVID-19 but who ultimately survive. This means that the mortality rate is actually much lower. The researchers think they know exactly how many people COVID-19 killed, a number that is still statistically much higher than the flu.
The Researchers came up with other ways to measure mortality, the Wall Street Journal reported, after it was impossible to measure the actual number of people infected in a community or account for all the deaths caused by COVID-19. They analyzed data from a variety of sources that tracked the outbreak, including outbreaks on cruise ships, surveys of people in hot spots, and other studies. Dozens of other studies have attempted to calculate the infection rate of COVID-19.
COVID-19 MAY KILL ANYWHERE FROM 0.3% TO 1.5% OF INFECTED PEOPLE, SOME OF THE STUDIES SAY. Other studies claim mortality rates ranging from 0.5 to 1.0 percent, which equates to 5 to 10 deaths per 1,000 infected people. At this rate, the new coronavirus is much more deadly than the flu, which kills 0.1% of those infected. Other infectious threats, such as Ebola, are more dangerous than COVID-19, but the new coronavirus is more contagious and easier to spread, meaning that COVID-19 ends up killing far more than Ebola.
The researchers looked at 26 studies that estimated infection mortality in different parts of the world and concluded that the true mortality rate would be between 0.53 and 0.82 percent, with a combined estimate of about 0.68 percent. The study, published in medRxiv, has not yet been peer-reviewed.
The CDC is using the report to estimate infection mortality and plan programs. As of July 10, the agency’s mortality guidance was 0.65 percent, higher than before.
A 0.6 per cent mortality rate would result in a coVID-19 mortality rate six times that of influenza, but more data was needed to confirm this conclusion. As the Wall Street Journal points out, there are significant differences between these estimates. Flu figures do not take into account asymptomatic infections. If you take that into account, the flu death rate would be lower than 0.1%.