According tomedia BGR, the new crown pandemic is still out of control in the United States, but although the situation has become so bad, it is still too late to flatten the curve. Dr. Leana Wen wrote an op-ed in which she described three situations that could face the United States, depending on the decisions of the state and federal governments.
In an op-ed in The Washington Post, Dr. Leana Wen, a former health commissioner in Baltimore, proposed three scenarios for how the United States should respond to the pandemic. This may sound like an attempt to oversimplify complex situations, but as some of the top experts in the United States and around the world have heard, the solution is not so complicated; people only need to be willing to change their behavior for weeks.
The first (and most frightening) scenario is that the American people stick to the status quo without any real national strategy. Florida, Texas, Arizona and other states with rising infection rates continue to maintain the status quo as their health-care systems reach saturation, and cracks begin to appear as doctors decide who lives and who dies. This has already happened in some cities. In the end, even non-COVID patients do not get the care they need, while economic turmoil increases as millions of Americans lose their jobs.
The opposite scenario would involve a full shutdown, replicating the practice of other countries now safely reopening, earlier this year, when the federal government was in trouble. People will follow the home order and stay at home for four to six weeks in order to “flatten the curve”. As Leana points out, this may sound familiar, because it’s a spring plan, and those that are really implementing it, including New York State, now have the lowest infection rates in the country.
Sadly, Leana says nationwide shutdowns sound the least likely, given the government’s reckless insistence on reopening the economy as soon as possible.
Therefore, the last scenario described by Leana is probably the most feasible. Instead of pretending that the virus doesn’t exist or shut down everything, the U.S. can take steps to respond to the outbreak in the hardest-hit states. For example, Texas could set a goal to reduce its infection rate to less than 5 percent and issue home orders statewide until the state meets its benchmark. Trying to stop it all once again may seem like a nightmare, but the worst-performing states can at least try to contain the virus’s exponential and deadly growth.
Whatever the U.S. does, the next few weeks will be crucial. ICU wards in Texas and Florida are filling up, while other southern and western states are also breaking their own single-day record for new confirmed cases.