CDC Chief Scientist Zeng Guang: Current prevention and control measures 5-10 days to see

January 24 news, just, the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention epidemiology chief scientist, the health care committee high-level expert group member Professor Zeng Guang said in a tweet, according to the incubation period of the disease, the last week is the key first campaign node, the next 5-10 days, wuhan city’s initial results will be known.

CDC Chief Scientist Zeng Guang: Current prevention and control measures 5-10 days to see

Zeng Guang believes that for other cities in the country, not afraid to find Wuhan to export patients, the key is to find isolation treatment in a timely manner, isolation of close contacts, not to allow second-generation cases to occur. The second and third generations that have emerged do not panic. Early control, can be completely extinguished, do not allow infectious diseases according to the geometric number of growth!

“I believe that thanks to our concerted efforts, there is a chance of a rapid reversal of the epidemic, and by the end of the Spring Festival, we may see the initial results, that is, the rising momentum of the epidemic has been somewhat contained,” Zeng said. After the Spring Festival, choose the opportunity to enter the siege war, the virus to sweep. “

At the end of the text, Zeng Guang called on everyone to spend the Spring Festival, to minimize the gathering, not to the crowd gathered to go to the place, away from the wildlife market. Be sure to wear a mask, pay attention to hand washing, do not rub your eyes and key your nose, do this, whether in Wuhan or in the field, everyone should be safe.

The following is the full text:

Hello everyone, I am Zeng Guang, chief epidemiologist of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and a member of the High-level Expert Group of the Health and Reform Commission.

Today is New Year’s Eve, I sina Weibo to everyone New Year!

In particular, we pay new greetings to the vast number of clinicians, epidemiologists and experts in ethnography who are working against the new coronavirus.

More to the hero of the people of Wuhan New Year, you have worked hard! You are now shouldering a great responsibility, the situation in Wuhan to all aspects of your life and work has brought great inconvenience, you are contributing to the whole country. Wuhan is the birthplace of the Xinhai Revolution, with a glorious revolutionary tradition, and now has become the front line against the new coronavirus, to salute you, to cheer you on.

The new coronavirus is raging, in recent days outside Wuhan provinces and cities occurred in the case, are from Wuhan before the closure of the city. Now is the time for us to fight the virus. Based on the incubation period of the disease, I think the last week has been the key first campaign node. The preliminary effect of Wuhan Fengcheng within 5-10 days to meet xiao, if the country and the world’s export cases are curbed, indicating that the high-level expert group recommended that “Wuhan people do not go out, foreigners do not come in” has been a good response. This paper explains the accuracy of the decision-making of wuhan municipal government, as well as the results of the joint efforts of Wuhan medical workers and all sectors of society.

For other cities in the country, we are not afraid to find Wuhan to export patients, the key is to find isolation treatment in a timely manner, isolation of close contacts, not to allow second-generation cases to occur. The second and third generations that have emerged do not panic. Early control, completely extinguished. Don’t let infectious diseases grow in geometric quantity!

I think, we must be realistic, truthfully report the outbreak, even in some cities, there are second- and third-generation virus cases, as long as the true report control should be praised. First report the second generation, three generations of the epidemic is the people are successful!

I believe that, thanks to our concerted efforts, there is an opportunity for a rapid reversal of the epidemic, and by the end of the Spring Festival, we may see the initial results, namely, that the rising momentum of the epidemic has been contained to some extent. After the Spring Festival, choose the opportunity to enter the siege war, the virus to sweep.

I think it’s debatable that some Western scholars will use mathematical models to predict that the outbreak will not end until May, based on the SARS epidemic trajectory simulation. In man-made, our determination, our joint prevention and control mechanism, our prevention and control measures, our mobilization ability, especially Chinese in the face of disasters, is mathematical modelcanuity can not be simulated.

Hope that you will enjoy the Spring Festival at the same time, to minimize the gathering, not to the crowd gathered to go to the place, away from the wildlife market. Be sure to wear a mask, pay attention to hand washing, do not rub your eyes and key your nose, do this, whether in Wuhan or in the field, everyone should be safe.

Thank you, and once again, I wish you all a happy Spring Festival.